Albania is two steps away from securing its third-biggest success in football history, not through qualifying for a European Championship or World Cup, but by finishing first in its group in the UEFA Nations League.

The final matches will take place on November 16 and 19, against the Czech Republic and Ukraine, both at home. Securing two victories won’t be easy, but it seems to be the only viable path.

Currently, Albania sits in third place in the group with 6 points, tied with Georgia and just one point behind the Czech Republic. However, Georgia has a better goal difference, although the head-to-head results are identical. Albania must win against the Czech Republic on Saturday at “Arena Air Albania,” a feat they accomplished in the European Championship qualifiers with a 3-0 victory. However, the Czech team now appears stronger, having beaten Albania 2-0 in Prague.

On the same night, November 16, Georgia hosts Ukraine and is expected to win. This means that Albania could be tied on points with Kvaratskhelia’s team in the final matches, with a potentially worse goal difference. On November 19, Ukraine will visit “Arena Air Albania,” and a victory is crucial. Albania’s chances also depend on Georgia playing against the Czech Republic. In the event of a draw or loss, Albania could still claim first place.

First place could also be achieved with a draw against the Czech Republic and a win over Ukraine, provided that the Czech Republic-Georgia match ends in a draw and Albania secures a better goal difference. These are the calculations, but for now, Silvinho’s team must focus on optimal preparation.

The national team has never reached League A of the Nations League, which represents the elite of European national football teams.

Finishing first in the group would also help Albania advance to the playoffs and keep their hopes alive for World Cup qualification without waiting for the next qualification cycle.

/k.s/